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The economic vote and tenure in office

Par: Martin Vinaes Larsen (Doctorant à l'Université de Copenhague, étudiant invité au CRCÉÉ)

Conférence organisée par la Chaire de recherche du Canada en études électorales (CRCÉÉ)

Résumé:

In this paper I use data from 323 elections featuring 206 different incumbents across 29 countries. Relating economic performance of the incumbents to their electoral fortunes I find that voters are less responsive to economic performance across time . As such, more seasoned incumbents, incumbents with longer tenure, are not punished (rewarded) more for adverse (good) economic conditions They are punished less.

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