Nuclear deterrence and strategic stability have always rested on fundamental assumptions about the nature of human psychology that are dubious at best and demonstrably empirically false at worst. Rationality, for example, represents one of these beliefs that have little, or at least restricted, basis in reality. And yet the entire fate of the planet depends, in essence, on our collective delusion that pivotal actors, no matter how selfish, remain fundamentally rational and intent on preserving survival if nothing else. Like most judgmental biases, this perception may be mostly accurate most of the time. However, it suffers from systematic and predictable flaws that can occur in predictable ways that can undermine not only our notions of rationality but also the foundations of stability and deterrence. 

Cet évènement est organisé par le CEPSI.  

DATE : vendredi 16 octobre, 12h-13h30 

Plus d’informations : http://cepsi-cipss.ca/events/rose-mcdermott-the-influence-of-psychological-factors-in-the-search-for-strategic-stability-october-16-2020/?lang=en